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Global consumption of hybrid and monolithic integrated edge-emitter laser diode (EELD) fiber-optic transceivers will grow eight-fold from $3.24bn in 2007 to $25.7bn in 2017, according to a new forecast from market research firm ElectroniCast Consultants. In 2007, America led the market, with a 42% share.
Monolithic EELD transceivers (now in advanced development) will achieve an 11% penetration of global integrated EELD transceiver consumption in 2012, and advance to 42% penetration ($10.6bn) by 2017 as they displace hybrid EELD transceivers, reckons the firm.
In 2007, single-channel EELD transceivers represented 27% of global consumption value, while 2-12 channel transceivers accounted for 55% ($959m). However, the single-channel value share will expand to 38% ($4.7bn) in 2017 (regaining the market lead), with 2-12 channel transceivers dropping to 34% and 16-128 channel transceivers holding a 28% share.
Consumption of active plus passive parts and devices in the global production of EELD-based transceivers will grow at an average rate of 23% per year, from $544m in 2007 to $4.32bn in 2017. Application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), EELDs, passive optical interconnect links, and connectors will lead this sector of the market, the firm forecasts.